It’s not another Tropical Storm Alex or Hurricane Agatha. Disturbance in east Pacific not expected to threaten South Florida

An area of disturbed weather is brewing south of Mexico in the general vicinity of Hurricane Agatha, which crossed over to the Atlantic Ocean as a low pressure system, dumped rain on South Florida, and then became Tropical Storm Alex, forecasters said.

However, at this point it appears the group of thunderstorms that extends nearly to Central America won’t threaten South Florida or the United States and will remain in the Pacific, the National Hurricane Center said.

The NHC said the axis of the tropical wave is moving west.

[ STAY UPDATED with the latest forecast for tropical weather at SunSentinel.com/hurricane ]

“The wave is generating scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the SW Caribbean, including the Caribbean plains of Nicaragua, and some shower and thunderstorm activity across the offshore waters of Costa Rica,” the NHC said.

AccuWeather said the disturbance isn’t expected to become a named storm in the short term. And even if it does develop, conditions aren’t optimal in the Atlantic to pose a threat to the United States.

Strong wind shear and pockets of dry air in the Atlantic are expected to curb any tropical activity, AccuWeather senior meteorologist Adam Douty said.

The NHC said no tropical activity is expected in the Atlantic for the next five days.

6/10 – Storms are beginning to develop across portions of the area and activity is expected to pick up into the afternoon hours today. A Flood Watch is still in effect for the east coast metro areas as heavy downpours may cause urban flooding concerns again today #flwx pic.twitter.com/3b4ArX5y1k

— NWS Miami (@NWSMiami) June 10, 2022

South Florida remains saturated from the weekend and early-week rains that were part of the low pressure system that became Tropical Storm Alex. Some areas in Broward County and northeast Miami-Dade County got double-digit rain totals Saturday when the system traveled across Florida.

Parts of eastern Broward, Palm Beach and Miami-Dade counties continued to be under a flood watch Friday because of the predicted afternoon rain and the saturated ground.

Chris Perkins can be reached at chperkins@sunsentinel.com.