Will Tropical Storm Nicole hit Tampa Bay? Here’s the latest forecast track

Tampa, St. Petersburg and Clearwater are in the extended forecast cone of uncertainty for Tropical Storm Nicole, which is forecast to develop on Monday and approach the east coast of Florida late Wednesday or into Thursday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Currently a subtropical storm, Nicole could bring strong storm surges, damaging winds and heavy rain wherever it hits. Tropical storm watches or warnings could be issued later on Monday. The storm could be near hurricane strength as it closes in on the coast.

Here’s the latest forecast track including the so-called “spaghetti models,” which show the range of possible tracks based on various computer models: