A disturbance arose on Thursday night over the the east coast of Belize and the Yucatan peninsula, though it was given a low chance of development.
The National Hurricane Center described it at 8 p.m. on Thursday as an area of showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean sea and adjacent land areas which was expected to move west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche sometime Saturday.
A low pressure area could form after that time if the system remains over water, but the chance of development over the next 48 hours was listed as 10% with the seven-day likelihood at 20%.
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season got its first named storm of the year on Tuesday, when Tropical Storm Andrea formed and quickly dissipated in the Central Atlantic Ocean.
In most years, the Atlantic hurricane season has generated at least one storm by this time, more than three weeks into hurricane season, and Andrea represented the latest since 2014 that tropical activity hasn’t bred a tracked system to start a season. That year, the first tropical depression didn’t form until June 30.
???? JUST IN: NOAA forecasters predict an above-normal 2025 Atlantic #HurricaneSeason
See our news release at: https://t.co/zYSAG6B4pH@NWSCPC @NWS #HurricaneOutlook #WeatherReadyNation
— NOAA (@NOAA) May 22, 2025
Between 2015 to 2024, though, the first tracked system had already formed by June 1, the first official day of hurricane season.
Despite the late start, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The agency predicts 13 to 19 named storms, of which 6-10 will become hurricanes. Three to five of those would grow into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.
Hurricane season runs through Nov. 30.
The Orlando Sentinel’s Richard Tribou contributed to this report.
Originally Published: