Forecasters watching for disturbance that could emerge near Caribbean; two others near Bermuda

National Hurricane Center forecasters are watching for the potential emergence of a system near the eastern Caribbean this weekend.

An area of low pressure could form along the northern coast of South America, perhaps near Venezuela. It will enter an environment to support gradual development as it moves west or west-northwest into the central Caribbean by the end of the weekend, the center’s weather outlook said.

It has a 20% chance of developing in the next five days, the center’s 8 p.m. outlook said.

The hurricane center is also monitoring two areas nearing Bermuda.

Due to the presence of upper-level winds and cooler water near Bermuda, conditions are less conducive for a tropical depression to form, forecasters said Tuesday. If a depression does form, it’s expected to be short-lived.

The disturbance nearest Bermuda located about 150 miles north of the island has low odds of developing in the next two to five days.

Meanwhile, forecasters are watching an area of low pressure in the central Caribbean that spans northward into the southwestern Atlantic that is creating disorganized showers and thunderstorms, the center’s 8 p.m. outlook said.

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As it moves north-northeastward, the system will meet favorable conditions to gradually develop over the next few days, the outlook said. It will then be west or southwest of Bermuda where winds are expected to decrease any further chance of development by the end of the weekend.

It has a 30% chance of developing in the next five days, the center’s 8 p.m. outlook said.

One named storm in October has occurred so far this year, Tropical Storm Karl, which formed Oct. 11 and passed over Mexico. Karl became the 11th named storm of the season.

There have been six tropical storms, two hurricanes and two major hurricanes, Fiona and Ian, so far this season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has predicted between two and six more hurricanes to form before the end of the season on Nov. 30

The next named storm will be Lisa.

[ RELATED: NOAA updates 2022 Atlantic hurricane outlook, still above-average heading into peak season ]