This year’s rainy season in South Florida likely will be wetter and hotter than normal — and you can expect downpours to start happening more often next month, the National Weather Service said Wednesday.
The weather service released its annual outlook for the wet season, which runs from May 15 to Oct. 15. The outlook balances trends, models and histories of wet seasons with similar characteristics.
The weather service has more confidence in the heat prediction than the rain prediction, however.
The heat prediction is based on a long-term trend that has been occurring since the 1980s, where summers in South Florida have been growing hotter and hotter, in general.
NWS meteorologist Robert Molleda said that “temperatures are likely to be above normal, at least a little bit above normal,” he said.
The rain prediction is less pronounced. The 30-year trend has been wetter than normal summers, Molleda said.
Additionally a comparison of past years with similar conditions to 2025 indicates that those years had slightly wetter conditions and were slighter cooler than normal. The warming trend, though, should override any cooling, he said.
South Florida has been in extreme drought for months.
Molleda said the region may see some rain in the coming week, but beyond that, the dry season could linger into June. By October, though, the rain tallies are likely to be slightly higher than an average year.