When and where will Hurricane Ian hit Florida? Here’s the updated forecast path

Nearly all of Florida, except areas south of Lake Okeechobee and the panhandle, is in the National Hurricane Center’s forecast cone for Hurricane Ian, forecasters said. The forecast track has been shifting further south and east on Tuesday, but the areas around Fort Meyers, Tampa, Clearwater and St. Petersburg remain at the highest risk of destructive winds and storm surge.

The west coast of Florida from Bonita Springs north to Tarpon Springs is under a hurricane warning. Hurricane, tropical storm and storm surge watches and warnings are in effect elsewhere on both coasts of the state plus Lake Okeechobee. A state of emergency is in effect for nearly the entire state, and forecasters warned there is much uncertainty about the storm’s track.

A tropical storm warning was issued early Tuesday for the entire east coast of Florida including Monroe, Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties north to the George border.

Here’s the latest forecast track including the so-called “spaghetti models,” which show the range of possible tracks based on various computer models: