Tropical depression could still form east of Caribbean; system near Nova Scotia fading

A tropical depression could still form in the next day or so to the far east of the Caribbean. Meanwhile, tropical development is no longer forecast for a low-pressure system near Nova Scotia, the National Hurricane Center said early Tuesday.

Odds for a tropical depression to form east of the Caribbean in the next few days had dropped from 70-80% earlier this week to a 40-50% chance by late Monday into Tuesday.

The showers and thunderstorms associated with the tropical wave, which was located about 700 miles northeast of the far eastern Caribbean as of 2 a.m., remained unorganized, experts said.

The environment could still support it developing in the next few days, forecasters said, as it moves northwest at about 15 mph before turning north over the central subtropical Atlantic.

The seven-day outlook indicates it will stay over open water in the mid-Atlantic.

A trough of low pressure that emerged Sunday off the coast of Wilmington, N.C., has moved rapidly north, and is now several hundred miles south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Forecasters said Tuesday that tropical development is no longer likely from the system traveling rapidly over colder waters.

The next named storm would be Emily. The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.